Irish raider Hello Sweetie can bag valuable prize

3.55 Market Rasen  HELLO SWEETIE  2.5pts ew @ 25/1

I must admit, I’d never heard of Co. Down trainer Pat Collins, although it’s hardly surprising seeing as far as I can tell, he only has three horses in training two of which, including the selection, he owns. It goes without saying this 8yo mare is easily the best of the three & this first raid across the Irish Sea in an attempt to plunder a 20k pot must be quite an adventure. Hello Sweetie is a bit of a Ballinrobe specialist having gained her last three successes at the Co. Mayo track & Market Rasen is very similar, albeit slightly sharper, which should suit the selection even more. Drying ground will also be in her favour, as she’s especially suited by a sound surface, which would explain her slightly below par run last time. Overall her hurdling form is comparable to her form over fences, yet she finds herself on a 7lb lower handicap mark here. Another plus is her UK rating is only 3lb higher than her rating back home, whereas Irish handicap hurdlers are usually penalised by 6lb-9lb. I think on bottom-weight & at a likely double-figure price she represents a cracking each-way bet. I’m not so keen on the other Irish runner, Gordon Elliott’s Walkabout. Like the selection, the 5yo is another good-ground Ballinrobe specialist, but he finds himself running 15lb higher than his win there last month & 6lb higher than his Irish rating. He’s not for me.  Favourite looks sure to be Red Tornado on the strength of his second in this course’s big summer hurdle in July, a race he was successful in the previous year.  The 2lb rise looks fair seeing as that looked a slightly stronger event than this & the Dan Skelton 5yo runs this course particularly well. He’d obviously been laid out for that & connections must’ve been particularly disappointed seeing as he’d dropped to just a 1lb higher mark than that win. Given his trainer, he’s likely to be under-priced, seeing as there are several in the race with a similar chance. The Philip Hobbs 5yo I’m A Game Changer, making his seasonal debut, would definitely fall into that category on ability. His main problem is his nerves. He’s sure to be wound-up on his first run & could well boil over & pull his chance away. The first two home in the Stratford handicap run earlier this month, Dear Sire & Caid Du Lin, re-oppose here. Donald McCain’s 5yo Dear Sire should confirm his narrow win on these revised terms & Richard Johnson, the rider of the runner-up that day, prefers I’m A Game Changer. Cloonacool won this in 2015 but has disappointed in these big handicap hurdles since, looking a weak finisher.

September 29, 2017 by : Posted in Free Racing Tips 1 Comment
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One Response to “Irish raider Hello Sweetie can bag valuable prize”

  1. HELLO SWEETIE – 16/1 2nd btn 3l +13pts
    Pressed leaders, going well 3 out, left 2nd 2 out, ridden & no impression from last but kept trying.

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